Brazil election: Lula triumphs over far-right outgoing Bolsonaro in stunning comeback | Brazil

Brazil’s former leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has sealed an astonishing political comeback, beating the far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in one of the most significant and bruising elections in the country’s history.

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With 99% of votes counted, Silva, a former factory worker who became Brazil’s first working-class president exactly 20 years ago, had secured 50.8% of the vote. Bolsonaro, a firebrand who was elected in 2018, received 49.1%.

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A few streets away on Paulista Avenue, one of the city’s main arteries, ecstatic Lula supporters gathered to celebrate his victory and the downfall of a radical rightwing president whose presidency produced an environmental tragedy and saw nearly 700,000 Brazilians die of Covid.

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“Our dream is coming true. We need to be free,” beamed Joe Kallif, a 62-year-old social activist who was among the elated throng. “Brazil was in a very dangerous place and now we are getting back our freedom. The last four years have been horrible.”

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Gabrielly Soares, a 19-year-old student, jumped in joy as she commemorated the imminent victory of a leader whose social policies helped her achieve a university education.

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“I feel so happy … During four years of Bolsonaro I saw my family slip backwards and under Lula they flourished,” she said, a rainbow banner draped over her shoulders.

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Ecstatic and tearful supporters of Lula – who secured more than 59m votes to Bolsonaro’s 57m – hugged and threw cans of beer in the air.

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“This means we are going to have someone in power who cares about those at the bottom. Right now we have a person who doesn’t care about the majority, about us, about LGBT people,” Soares said. “Bolsonaro … is a bad person. He doesn’t show a drop of empathy or solidarity for others. There is no way he can continue as president.”

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There was celebration around the region too as leftist allies tweeted their congratulations. “Viva Lula,” said Colombia’s leader, Gustavo Petro.

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And now it’s official. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is the new president of Brazil. His victory has been confirmed with the Supreme Electoral Court. With 98.86 % of the votes counted Lula has 50.83 % and Bolsonaro has 49.17%.

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Brazil’s electoral authority has called the runoff for leftist Lula da Silva, which means he has won presidential election, defeating far-right incumbent Bolsonaro.

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This is the most important result in decades for one of the world’s largest democracies –and for the future of the Amazon and the planet.

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Lula has won Brazil’s bitterly fought election, according to polling firm Datafolha, denying far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro a second term.

With 95% of the votes counted in Latin America’s largest country, the polling firm called the election.

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The official count stood at 50.7% of votes for Lula against 49.3% for Bolsonaro.

A significant number of votes still remain to be counted in the Bolsonaro stronghold state of Sao Paulo, but, according to the pollster, Lula has it.

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Long-time Brazil correspondent Andrew Downie reports that Lula’s winning margin is the closest since 1989, when Brazilians voted for a president for the first time since the end of the military dictatorship. With just a handful of votes still to be counted Lula is ahead by approximately 50.7% to 49.3%.

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The previous closest margin was in 2014, when Dilma Rousseff won a second consecutive term by beating Aécio Neves by 51.6% to 48.4%.

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Lula will hope that is not an omen: Dilma was impeached two years later and the convulsions that followed paved the way for the rise of the far-right.

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A reminder that as Brazilians headed to the polls for the second time in a month, there were alarming reports of voter suppression, with members of the federal highway police – a notoriously pro-Bolsonaro security force – setting up roadblocks in Lula strongholds in the country’s north-east.

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Brazil’s opposition denounced the unusual operations, which were reportedly planned during a meeting at Bolsonaro’s official presidential residence, as a deliberate attempt to prevent Lula voters reaching their polling stations.

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“There is only one name for this: a desperate attempt to clobber our democracy,” tweeted Marina Silva, a prominent centrist politician who has backed Lula’s campaign.

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Moraes demanded an immediate end to the police operations and summoned the highway police’s director – who reportedly posted a pro-Bolsonaro message on social media on the eve of the election – to explain why his forces were defying a judicial decision outlawing such activities on election day.

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Lula supporters flooded social media with calls for police to “let the north-east vote”.

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Randolfe Rodrigues, an opposition senator who is a key member of Lula’s team, demanded the immediate arrest of the highway police director, Silvinei Vasques.

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“Crooks! Criminals! Bolsonaro is using the government apparatus to try to stop poor people voting … We must unite for our democracy and for our people,” Rodrigues tweeted.

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Unusual security operations involving the military police and army were also reported in Rio de Janeiro.

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A recent investigation by the magazine Piauí revealed that Vasques was appointed at the suggestion of Bolsonaro’s senator son, Flávio Bolsonaro. “Since taking over the corporation, Silvinei Vaques has strictly adhered to the Bolsonarista playbook,” Piauí reported.

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Addressing the media on Sunday, De Moraes cautioned against overstating the impact of the police operations on voters but said an investigation would look at whether there had been an abuse of authority:

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Pollster DataFolha is projecting a win for Lula, the newspaper Folha (Brazil’s largest) reports:

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#URGENTE: LULA (PT) É ELEITO PRESIDENTE, PROJETA DATAFOLHA. LEIA MAIS EM https://t.co/zUqCw90Yw3 #Eleições2022 pic.twitter.com/JPcA5QBoXL

— Folha de S.Paulo (@folha) October 30, 2022

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Brazil correspondent Andrew Downie explains why the results have come in so fast:

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The election count was quick on Sunday, quicker than during the first round four weeks ago because there are fewer races this time.

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Unlike on 2 October, when there were ballots for Congress, governors and state assemblies in 27 states, this time around the presidential election was the main event, accompanied by just 12 gubernatorial run-off elections.

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That means that within two hours of the polls closing, more than 80 % of votes had been counted in the presidential race.

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Lefttist Lula has overtaken far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in the run-off (and final) round of Brazil’s election:

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Lula has overtaken Bolsonaro! With more than 70% votes counted, Lula has edged ahead – following the same pattern as the first round: pic.twitter.com/8ZLnbc0jo5

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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Just over half of districts have now been counted, and things appear to be moving much faster than they did in the first round.

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Bolsonaro’s lead has now narrowed again, in keeping with the trend we’ve seen so far, as more and more regional districts – which is where Lula supporters are concentrated – report their results.

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In the first round, it took until 70% of votes were counted for Lula to overtake Bolsonaro, as this useful graph shows:

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With half of districts counted, Bolsonaro's lead narrows to 0.6%. In the first round, it took until 70% of votes were counted for Lula to overtake Bolsonaro, but it looks like that is happening sooner this time: pic.twitter.com/0he0L0hiyE

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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Now, as we pass 50%, Bolsonaro’s lead is just 0.6%:

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The results with just over 50% counted – in the first round, Bolsonaro led by around 2% at this point. Now he leads by 0.6%: pic.twitter.com/S81outiijL

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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We’re approaching the halfway mark, and as we do – and regional districts report – Bolsonaro’s lead is growing smaller. It is now down to 1%, from 2.6% with a quarter of districts counted:

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As two fifths of districts are counted, Bolsonaro's lead over Lula has narrowed further, to 1%: pic.twitter.com/3syaN4VL1F

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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Far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro’s lead over leftist Lula has narrowed from 2.6% to 1.9% as just over a third of districts are counted – this likely reflects that results are starting to come in from regional areas, where Lula has stronger support:

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With just over a third of districts counted – and as more regional districts report – Bolsonaro's lead has narrowed to 1.9%: pic.twitter.com/Ck3ZFu0ySj

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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Despite the fact that Brazil is the world’s fourth-largest democracy, results from more than 150 million eligible voters are presented mere hours after polls close, thanks to the country’s electronic voting system. And no significant fraud has ever been detected.

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Electronic machines were first used in 1996 and the first nationwide, electronic-only vote took place four years later.

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Brazilian authorities adopted electronic voting machines to tackle longstanding fraud. In earlier elections, ballot boxes arrived at voting stations already stuffed with votes. Others were stolen and individual votes were routinely falsified, according to Brazil’s electoral authority.

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Ahead of the first round of voting, President Jair Bolsonaro was feeding concern about the nation’s electronic voting system. He has long insisted that the machines, used for a quarter-century, are prone to fraud, though he acknowledged last year that hasn’t been proved.

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Brazil’s top electoral authority maintain the system has been tested rigorously.

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Bolsonaro’s lead has grown to 2.6% with 25% of districts counted, from 2.2% with a fifth of districts counted. But again, this may not be indicative of the final result – Bolsonaro’s supporters are concentrated in urban areas, which are faster to report:

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With a quarter of results counted, Bolsonaro's lead widens slightly (2.6% compared to 2.2% with a fifth counted): pic.twitter.com/abwPTX7F83

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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Results are coming in fast, and with a fifth of districts counted, Bolsonaro has taken an early lead.

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The far-right incumbent is ahead by just over two points:

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With a fifth of districts counted, Bolsonaro has taken an early lead in the Brazil election: pic.twitter.com/OLUzwZogaC

— Helen Sullivan (@helenrsullivan) October 30, 2022

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Because results come in faster from urban seats, where Bolsonaro’s supporters are concentrated, it is expected that he will take an early lead. But polls have Lula four points ahead overall, so he may pull ahead in the coming hours.

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Lula’s Workers’ party usually gets stronger support in regions that are slower to report results. Results followed the same pattern in the first round.

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Since 2019, far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro has has led an administration marked by incendiary speech, his testing of democratic institutions, his widely criticised handling of the Covid-19 pandemic and the worst deforestation in the Amazon rainforest in 15 years.

But he has built a devoted base by defending conservative values, rebuffing political correctness and presenting himself as protecting the nation from leftist policies that he says infringe on personal liberties and produce economic turmoil.

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is Jair Bolsonaro?”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sun 30 Oct 2022 19.32 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Sun 30 Oct 2022 16.27 EDT”},{“id”:”635ee0008f082fdc8beb15bb”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, known as Lula, became the country’s first working-class president in 2002.

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Lula stepped down after two terms in 2010 with approval ratings close to 90%. But the following decade saw the Workers’ party (PT) he helped found embroiled in a tangle of corruption scandals and accused of plunging Brazil into a brutal recession.

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candidate Luiz Inácio Lula Da Silva of the Workers’ Party (PT) casts his vote at Escola Estadual Firmino Correia De Araújo on 3- October 2022 in Sao Bernardo do Campo, Brazil.”,”caption”:”Leftist candidate Luiz Inácio Lula Da Silva of the Workers’ party casts his vote at Escola Estadual Firmino Correia De Araújo on 3 October 2022 in Sao Bernardo do Campo, Brazil.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Alexandre Schneider/Getty 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His apparently irremediable downfall was cemented in 2018 when he was jailed on corruption charges and barred from running in that year’s election, which Bolsonaro went on to win. Lula’s 580-day imprisonment seemed a melancholy end to a fairytale life that saw him rise from rural poverty to become one of the world’s most popular leaders.

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But Lula was freed in late 2019 and his convictions were quashed on the grounds that he was unfairly tried by Sérgio Moro, a rightwing judge who later took a job in Bolsonaro’s cabinet.

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Lula, who first sought the presidency in 1989, announced his sixth presidential run in May, vowing to beat Bolsonaro by staging “the greatest peaceful revolution the world has ever seen”.

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Voting has closed in Brazil, where it is early Sunday evening.

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Results will start coming in quickly, and we are likely to know the winner within hours – probably before 9pm in Rio de Janeiro.

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Brazil’s electronic voting system means that ballots are counted quickly (and accurately).

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Hello and welcome to our live coverage of the results in Brazil’s run-off elections. My name is Helen Sullivan and I’ll be bringing you the latest as it happens. If you have questions or see news you think I may have missed, you can find me on Twitter here.

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With 156 million voters, Brazil is one of the world’s largest democracies and this is its most important election in decades, with progressives hopeful that Jair Bolsonaro will be unseated by leftist Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in what would be one of the greatest political comebacks in history.

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This is the second and final round of voting after Lula, who had, according to polls, been expected to win an outright majority won the first round but failed to secure an overall majority. Bolsonaro’s support was stronger than anticipated and, as reports emerge of the notoriously Pro-Bolsonaro highway police setting up road blocks in Lula strongholds, there are very real fears that the far-right incumbent could keep his position.

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Polls put Lula, as he is known, ahead of Bolsonaro by four points. A former union leader who lost three presidential elections before finally winning in 2002, the now 77-year-old leftist led the country for eight years before leaving office with approval ratings above 80%.

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Bolsonaro’s botched handling of the pandemic has led to almost 700,000 deaths in Brazil and under his watch, deforestation in the Amazon rose to its highest levels in 15 years.

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We will have more on the candidates, the run-off campaign and will bring you the results live as they come in.

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Key events

From the Associated Press:

Thomas Traumann, an independent political analyst, compared the results to US President Joe Biden’s victory in 2020, saying da Silva inherits a deeply divided nation.

“Lula’s huge challenge will be to pacify the country,” he said. “People are not only polarized on political issues, but also have different values, identity and opinions. Moreover, they don’t care about the values, identities and opinions of the other side.

Bolsonaro had led throughout the first half of the count, and as soon as da Silva passed him, cars on the streets of downtown São Paulo began honking. People could be heard in the streets of the Ipanema district of Rio de Janeiro shouting: “It turned!

Da Silva’s headquarters in downtown São Paulo’s hotel only erupted after the final result was announced, underscoring the tension that was a hallmark of this race.

“Four years of waiting for this,” said Gabriela Souto, one of the few fans allowed in due to heavy security measures.

Lula makes stunning comeback to beat far-right Bolsonaro in Brazil election

Tom Phillips

Brazil’s leftist former president, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silvasealed a stunning political comeback by defeating far-right incumbent Jair Bolsonaro in one of the most important and deadly elections in the country’s history.

With 99% of the votes counted, Silva, a former factory worker who became Brazil’s first working-class president exactly 20 years ago, won 50.8% of the vote. Bolsonaro, an arsonist elected in 2018, obtained 49.1%.

A few blocks away, on Paulista Avenue, one of the city’s main thoroughfares, ecstatic supporters of Lula gathered to celebrate his victory and the downfall of a radical right-wing president whose presidency produced a environmental tragedy and saw nearly 700,000 Brazilians die from Covid.

“Our dream is coming true. We need to be free,” said Joe Kallif, a 62-year-old social activist who was among the elated crowd. “Brazil was in a very dangerous place and now we are getting our freedom back. The last four years have been horrible.

Gabrielly Soares, a 19-year-old student, jumped for joy as she commemorated the impending victory of a leader whose social policies helped her get a college education.

“I feel so happy…During Bolsonaro’s four years I saw my family recede and under Lula they prospered,” she said, a rainbow banner draped over her shoulders .

Ecstatic, tearful supporters of Lula – who won more than 59 million votes to Bolsonaro’s 57 million – hugged each other and threw cans of beer into the air.

“It means we’re going to have someone in power who cares about those down there. Right now we have a person who doesn’t care about the majority, about us LGBT people,” Soares said. “Bolsonaro… is a bad person. He does not show a drop of empathy or solidarity towards others. There is no way he can continue as president.

There were also celebrations in the region as leftist allies tweeted their congratulations. “Viva Lula,” said Colombian leader Gustavo Petro.

Long duration Brazil Correspondent Andrew Downie reports that Lula, 77, leader of the Workers’ Party, will take power on January 1 to begin his third term, after two consecutive terms between 2003 and 2011.