Frankie Montas has been on the trade block so long, he erected four houses and a hotel there. Luckily for everyone involved, he has a new home, because the Yankees sent a four player package at Oakland for Montas and reliever Lou Trivinoa deal that makes it look like Oakland sold low and didn’t have enough for more than a year of a viable major league starter and capable reliever who was good enough ago barely a year.
Montas didn’t have a full and healthy season as a starter in the majors until 2021, when he was worth 3.6 WAR, a year in which he also didn’t show a huge home/home split. road to change. As of the start of 2020, Montas has a 4.70 ERA away from Oakland, giving up 57% of his home runs in 40% of his innings. He has high velocity and a plus splitter, allowing him to get hitters on both sides, with a short slider that is more effective because he doesn’t overuse it. He has above average control but marginal proficiency, especially of the fastball. He’s an above average starter, as long as he’s healthy, because of the sheer things. But I’m afraid he’s leaving one of baseball’s most forgiving fields. He gives the Yankees a solid replacement for Louis Severino, who was transferred to the 60-day IL on Monday. But Montas also left his July 3 start with a sore shoulder, and while he’s made two starts since popping a pair, it’s small reason to question Montas’ reliability for the rest. of the year.
The Yankees also added right-handed reliever Lou Trivino, who was worth more than a WAR in 73 innings last year but has been hit much harder this year, especially on his four seams and lead, a combination of bad luck and bad location. They needed another right-handed reliever after Michael King declined for the year, and Trivino could fill that gap.
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Oakland hasn’t fared well here, though it’s possible Montas’ injuries have become too much for the buyers. Southpaw Ken Waldichuk is a big hitter, working a lot on a mid-90s fastball with high spin and movement, and pairing it with an above-average slider. He’s got below average command, his changeover isn’t great and he’s showing great platoon division, enough that I think he’s much more likely to become a reliever – and that’s before we We were talking about the very long arm action.
Right-hander Luis Medina is the big wild card in the trade, as he’s hit 100 mph and can show the makings of four above-average throws with good delivery, but he’s always struggled to throw strikes. He has a 13% walk rate this year, which is his career best in a season; in 2018, he walked one in four batters he faced, so he cut his walk rate in half. If you just watched him warm up or throw a simulation game, you’d think he was a future No. 1 starter. Maybe he can still get there, but he has to find out soon, because he’s remains an option and will therefore probably have to cancel the derogations to return to minors after 2023.
JP Sears is a left-handed reliever who deals the fastball from a low pitch and has an above-average slider, so he’s really effective against left-handed hitters, but is probably a last man on a stick. reliever on a decent team. Cooper Bowman was the Yankees’ fourth-round pick last year at the University of Louisville, but doesn’t produce in High A and doesn’t have a clear stance — he can’t play in the middle of the infield, at least. , and if he doesn’t do anything other than draw walks, it doesn’t matter where he plays. It’s a really disappointing comeback after months of Montas trade rumors. The A’s might end up getting enough value here in the end, but someone will have to exceed reasonable expectations for that to happen.
The Yankees also made a modest trade with the Cubstreating right-handed pitching prospect Hayden Wesneski for right-handed reliever Scott Effros. Effross is 28 and has developed a slider that is a playground for him in one-sleeve looks. He throws a ton of shots, but given his age and the volatility of middle relievers, I trade that type of guy for Wesneski every time. Wesneski is a successful three step starter up to Triple A, with an above average slider and shift that has more deception than I expected just because of the speed and the shape of the land. I’m concerned the fastball is too true and the major league hitters are correcting it, but it goes from 93-96 mph on entry to 95-100 mph on relief, which gives the Cubs a good floor on the acquisition. He could easily be as good as Efross in a year or two.
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